ATP Monte Carlo Day 5 Predictions Including Fritz vs Korda

Day 4 of the ATP Monte Carlo Masters brought us some tasty surprises as top seed Novak Djokovic was eliminated along with in-form Miami champion Carlos Alcaraz. Day 5 is full of big names and interesting matchups and as always here at LWOT we will be offering our predictions for all eight games including Andrey Rublev vs Jannik Sinner. But who will make it into the last eight?

ATP Monte Carlo day 5 predictions

Casper Ruud vs Grigor Dimitrov

Head to head: Ruud 1-0 Dimitrov

Casper Ruud is playing very well this year with a 14-4 record that includes two finals and a title. He has had his best performance in a 1000 event, a final appearance on hard, and generally plays better on clay. He must be considered one of the favorites to win the tournament. Dimitrov has played mediocre this year, despite generally doing well in Monte Carlo (ending up losing to Nadal almost every year). The matchup favors Ruud quite a bit, and not just numerically; Ruud’s heavy ball, forehand and backhand, should be a problem for the Bulgarian’s lighter shots (think Nadal’s forehand on Federer’s backhand). And Ruud should be hungry and confident after his excellent run in Miami.
Prognosis: Ruud in the 2nd

Embed from Getty Images

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Laszlo Djere

Head to head: Tsitsipas 1: 0 Djere

Tsitsipas is another favorite to win everything and nothing in this clash indicates a roadblock for the Greek. Djere likes clay and he helped Tsitsipas to two tiebreaks in their lone matchup earlier this year, but this is where strength meets strength and Tsitsipas just consistently had more strength. His wins this year have been good and he is the reigning Monte Carlo champion, while Djere has just picked up his first wins at the tournament and his first win over a top 50 player this year. I would expect longer rallies with Tsitsipas setting the pace and strategy, simply outperforming the Serb when it comes to pulling the trigger on winners.
Prognosis: Tsitsipas in the 2

Embed from Getty Images

Alexander Zverev versus Pablo Carreno Busta

Head to head: Zverev 2: 0 Carreno Busta

This appears to be a better match in name than quality. None of the players did particularly well for their rankings this year; Zverev hasn’t had any high-profile wins since early January and Carreno Busta has just recorded his first win over a top-40 player this season when Alexander Bublik resigned in the third set of the second round. The matchup favors the German in every way, albeit not hugely; The best indicator of the advantage is its higher win rate on clay (by 16%). That number, combined with Zverev’s generally better game, points us in his direction, but I have no faith in either player against the other at the moment.
Prognosis: Zverev in the 3

Embed from Getty Images

Taylor Fritz versus Sebastian Korda

Head to head: first meeting

This should be a good matchup. Fritz is fulfilling his promise as a tennis player after rising to No. 13 in the world in the Indian Wells final against Nadal after racking up one of the best wins of all seasons. However, his results can be so inconsistent that he later squeaks past world No. 430 in Round 1 of the current tournament.

Korda, on the other hand, has just defeated one of the hottest players on the tour in Carlos Alcaraz as he continues his slow climb up the rankings to 42nd. He’s not very experienced on clay, but he has a better win rate than Fritz (who gave his fans a breather by continuing after his near-disaster in Round 1 with a win over Marin Cilic). Fritz’s big serve is blunted by the clay (only eight aces over six sets in this tournament), and I think Korda’s slower style is favored, if only a little.
Prediction: Korda in 3

Main photo by Getty.

Viardos Sports